Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003868 0.004061 0.004258 0.004475 0.004708 0.004950 0.005221
2025-01-26 0.003539 0.003829 0.004140 0.004497 0.004897 0.005334 0.005850
2025-02-02 0.003403 0.003761 0.004153 0.004619 0.005160 0.005772 0.006523
2025-02-09 0.003199 0.003590 0.004030 0.004563 0.005199 0.005938 0.006873
2025-02-16 0.003059 0.003479 0.003960 0.004556 0.005282 0.006148 0.007275
2025-02-23 0.002929 0.003370 0.003882 0.004527 0.005331 0.006311 0.007619
2025-03-02 0.002855 0.003320 0.003870 0.004575 0.005469 0.006585 0.008112
2025-03-09 0.002748 0.003225 0.003795 0.004538 0.005496 0.006714 0.008419
2025-03-16 0.002650 0.003135 0.003722 0.004497 0.005512 0.006826 0.008703
2025-03-23 0.002544 0.003031 0.003627 0.004422 0.005479 0.006867 0.008889
2025-03-30 0.002450 0.002938 0.003541 0.004355 0.005449 0.006909 0.009074
2025-04-06 0.002397 0.002895 0.003516 0.004364 0.005522 0.007092 0.009466
2025-04-13 0.002276 0.002763 0.003374 0.004216 0.005377 0.006969 0.009413
2025-04-20 0.002231 0.002728 0.003358 0.004236 0.005463 0.007176 0.009862
2025-04-27 0.002227 0.002745 0.003409 0.004349 0.005684 0.007585 0.010642
2025-05-04 0.002160 0.002676 0.003344 0.004297 0.005667 0.007644 0.010879
2025-05-11 0.002114 0.002634 0.003312 0.004290 0.005713 0.007798 0.011274
2025-05-18 0.002063 0.002584 0.003268 0.004264 0.005730 0.007906 0.011599
2025-05-25 0.002040 0.002570 0.003274 0.004308 0.005850 0.008177 0.012213
2025-06-01 0.001991 0.002520 0.003227 0.004274 0.005851 0.008263 0.012514
2025-06-08 0.001943 0.002470 0.003178 0.004236 0.005845 0.008333 0.012793
2025-06-15 0.001887 0.002407 0.003111 0.004167 0.005788 0.008320 0.012920
2025-06-22 0.001836 0.002350 0.003049 0.004105 0.005738 0.008315 0.013061